Notting Hill Property Market: House Prices, Sold Data & Development Finance, Q3 2026 Review

Notting Hill: Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea stucco terraces with premium lateral conversion values.

The Notting Hill property market recorded 1,830 residential sales in the 12 months to 30 June 2026, with a median sale price of £1m. This places Notting Hill £520k above the Greater London county median of £480,000, and £715k above the approximate UK median of £285,000.

Prices in Notting Hill have recorded a notable decline, a year-on-year change of -16.1%. Within Greater London, Notting Hill ranks 3rd by price out of 51 principal towns, and 48th by transaction volume.

On a quarterly view, Notting Hill median prices moved from £1.19m in Q4 2024 to £950,000 in Q1 2026, a change of -20.2% over 5 quarters. Notting Hill has now recorded 3 consecutive quarters of price falls. The most recent quarter is excluded because HM Land Registry registrations for it are still incomplete.

Notting Hill shares a HM Land Registry reporting district with neighbouring towns, and the source data does not distinguish Notting Hill-specific sales from the wider district. The figures above reflect the whole shared district rather than Notting Hill alone.

Kensington and Chelsea, the local planning authority covering Notting Hill, approved 19 residential planning applications and refused 7 in Q3 2026 (1 July to 30 September 2026), with 42 still awaiting a decision. That is an approval rate of 73%. Planning figures come from local planning authority records compiled by Landstack, retrieved on 3 October 2026. Councils and Landstack can take several days to publish decisions, so decisions made in the final days of Q3 2026 may not all be included yet.

Schemes approved in Q3 2026, together with those still awaiting a decision, propose around 370 homes, an estimated £398.3m of development value at local sale prices. Treat the unit total as an upper bound, since an outline permission and its reserved-matters application both count.

Kensington and Chelsea covers more than one town in Greater London, so these figures are authority-wide rather than specific to Notting Hill alone.

Property prices in Notting Hill vary significantly by type. The table below compares Notting Hill prices with Greater London county averages and UK national figures.

Semi-detached homes in Notting Hill command £7.95m, while flat properties are most accessible at £835,000. The £7.1m spread between the most and least expensive types indicates a diverse market with opportunities across the development spectrum.

HM Land Registry has so far registered 44 new-build sales in Notting Hill for the past 12 months, 2.4% of registered transactions. New-build sales are typically registered 6 to 18 months after completion, so this understates current delivery and is not a completions figure.

On those registered sales, new builds in Notting Hill sold at a discount of 3.8% to existing stock.

Across the wider Greater London market, 1,006 new-build sales have registered so far. See our Greater London property market report for the full county picture.

The table below shows the most recently registered residential sales in Notting Hill, evidence of achieved prices for buyers, sellers and developers:

These transactions are sourced from HM Land Registry Price Paid data and represent completed, registered sales. The range from £530,000 to £2.70m illustrates the breadth of the Notting Hill market.

For developers considering Notting Hill, the local market data translates directly into finance structuring. With a median value of £1m and detached homes at £6.15m, lenders can assess scheme viability with confidence.

A typical development finance facility for a scheme in Notting Hill with a GDV of £6.15m would attract senior debt of approximately £4m at 65% LTGDV. Mezzanine finance can stretch total borrowing to 85-90% of costs, while bridging loans enable rapid site acquisitions completing in as little as 5 working days.

While prices have softened 16.1% year-on-year, experienced developers can still generate strong returns in Notting Hill by targeting well-located sites with clear demand drivers.

Ready to develop in Notting Hill? Submit your scheme for indicative terms within 24 hours from our panel of 100+ lenders.

To put Notting Hill's market in context, the table below compares it with similarly-priced towns across Greater London:

For the full Greater London town-by-town breakdown, see our comprehensive Greater London property market report.